Key takeaway: The IRGC Air Force held missile exercises in Semnan province.
The IRGC Air Force kicked off the “Defenders of the Velayat Skies” exercises in the northern province of Semnan on February 4. The drill was designed to simulate aerial attacks on unnamed “sensitive sites.” The exercises featured a number of different missile and radar systems, including the Khordad III, Tabas, and Seyyed II missile systems. The exercises were announced ahead of Iran’s most recent ballistic missile test on January 29. It is thus unlikely the exercises were a direct response to the round of U.S. sanctions against Iran following the ballistic missile test.
Supreme National Security Council Secretary Ali Shamkhani stated that while Iran is committed to pursuing a political solution to the crisis in Syria, it believes in a “military solution only against groups that are unwilling to abandon their weapons” during a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin’s Special Representative to Syria Alexander Lavrentyev on February 5. Shamkhani’s comments depart from the regime’s typical rhetoric that there is no “military solution” to the Syrian crisis.
Regional Developments and Diplomacy
Foreign Ministry: We have not interfered in Yemen Conservative MP: U.S. sanctions are cause to stop implementing the nuke deal Shamkhani: Iran supports a “military solution” against certain groups in Syria Supreme Leader’s advisor warns against attempts to partition IraqForeign Ministry: We have not interfered in Yemen
Foreign Ministry Spokesman Bahram Ghassemi denied that Iran has had “any interference in Yemen.” Further, Ghassemi stated that Iran has “not given any weapons to Yemeni fighters” despite reports that Iranian weapon shipments to the Houthi rebels have recently increased. Ghassemi also called the United Arab Emirates Foreign Minister Shaikh Abdullah bin Zayed al Nayahan’s claims that Iran is intervening in the domestic affairs of Arab countries as “baseless.” (Fars News Agency) (Fars News Agency)
- Ghassemi called President Donald Trump’s recent remarks on Iran “hostile” and “threatening.” He continued, “Of course, this is nothing new and we are not too much concerned... I still believe that we should be patient and not make hasty judgements. We should wait and see how the U.S. government will take measures towards its domestic issues as well as international affairs.” Ghassemi also claimed that Iran’s recent ballistic missile test was not meant as a signal to the Trump administration. Ghassemi also stated that “there is no need to test Mr. Trump” after Vice President Mike Pence warned Iran “not to test the resolve” of the Trump administration on February 5. (Mehr News Agency) (E)
Citations & Links
Mehr News Agency: http://en.mehrnews.com/news/123318/Trump-anti-Iranian-talks-hostile-Iran-to-keep-watch Fars News Agency: http://www.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=13951116001733 Fars News Agency: http://www.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=13951118000752Conservative MP: U.S. sanctions are cause to stop implementing the nuke deal
Hojjat ol Eslam Mojtaba Zolnour, the conservative head of the Nuclear Committee in Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, stated that the recent U.S. sanctions are just cause for Iran to “halt the implementation” of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA. Zolnour cited the following section of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s October 2015 letter addressed to President Hassan Rouhani approving the implementation of the deal: “any imposition of any type of sanctions, at any level or under any pretext (such as the repeated and fabricated pretext of terrorism and human rights) by any of the countries involved in the negotiations will be considered a violation of the JCPOA.” (Mehr News Agency)
Citations & Links
Mehr News Agency: http://www.mehrnews.com/news/3898520/%D8%A7%D8%AC%D8%B1%D8%A7%DB%8C-%D8%A8%D8%B1%D8%AC%D8%A7%D9%85-%D8%A8%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%AF-%D9%85%D8%AA%D9%88%D9%82%D9%81-%D8%B4%D9%88%D8%AF-%D8%B7%D8%B1%D8%AD-%D9%87%D8%B3%D8%AA%D9%87-%D8%A7%DB%8C-%D8%A8%D9%87%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%B3%D8%AA%D8%A7%D9%86-%D9%85%D9%86%D8%AA%D8%B8%D8%B1-%D9%86%D8%B8%D8%B1%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%B1%DB%8C%D8%AC%D8%A7%D9%86%DB%8CShamkhani: Iran supports a “military solution” against certain groups in Syria
Supreme National Security Council Secretary Ali Shamkhani stated that while Iran is committed to pursuing a political solution to the crisis in Syria, it believes in a “military solution only against groups that are unwilling to abandon their weapons” during a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin’s Special Representative to Syria Alexander Lavrentyev on February 5. Shamkhani hailed the Astana talks on the Syrian crisis as a “successful approach that can be used as model to end regional crises.” (Fars News Agency)
Citations & Links
Fars News Agency: http://www.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=13951117000914Supreme Leader’s advisor warns against attempts to partition Iraq
Foreign Policy Advisor to the Supreme Leader Ali Akbar Velayati stated that Iran’s “presence in Iraq is at the legal and legitimate request of that country” during a meeting with Special Representative of the UN Secretary General to Iraq Ján Kubiš on February 5. Velayati warned against “any movement that fuels Iraq’s partition among various groups within the country, including the Kurds, the Shia, and the Sunni.” Velayati praised the importance of the “democratic experience” in Iraq and stressed that Iran “strongly supports the legitimate government [of Iraq]... and will work towards the establishment of stability and democracy in that country.” Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif also met separately with Kubiš. (Tasnim News Agency) (Fars News Agency)
Citations & Links
Fars News Agency: http://www.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=13951118001264 Tasnim News Agency: https://www.tasnimnews.com/fa/news/1395/11/17/1319082/%D8%AD%D8%B6%D9%88%D8%B1-%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D8%B9%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%82-%D8%A8%D9%87-%D8%AF%D8%B1%D8%AE%D9%88%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA-%D9%85%D8%B4%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%B9-%D9%88-%D9%82%D8%A7%D9%86%D9%88%D9%86%DB%8C-%D8%A7%DB%8C%D9%86-%DA%A9%D8%B4%D9%88%D8%B1-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AADefense minister: We have increased weapons production by nearly 70 percent
Defense Minister IRGC Brig. Gen. Hossein Dehghan stated that Iran’s production of weapons and other military equipment has increased by “69% in the past three years” during a ceremony unveiling production lines for five different weapons, including the Fajr-5 rocket. (Fars News Agency) (E)
Citations & Links
Fars News Agency: http://en.farsnews.com/newstext.aspx?nn=13951118001180IRGC Air Force holds drills in northern Iran
The IRGC Air Force kicked off the “Defenders of the Velayat Skies” exercises in the northern province of Semnan on February 4. The exercises featured a number of different missile and radar systems, including the Khordad III, Tabas, and Seyyed II missile systems. Each of the three missile systems reportedly has a range of 60-75 km. The drill was designed to simulate enemy aerial attacks on unnamed “sensitive sites.” (Fars News Agency) (E) (Tasnim News Agency) (E)
- IRGC Air Force Commander Brig. Gen. Amir Ali Hajizadeh referred to “U.S. officials’ threats against Iran” and stated, “With the knowledge I have of the abilities of the Iranian armed forces and of ourselves, I can declare confidently that foreign threats against [Iran] do not work.” (Tasnim News Agency)
Citations & Links
Tasnim News Agency: https://www.tasnimnews.com/fa/news/1395/11/16/1317632/%D8%B3%D8%B1%D8%AF%D8%A7%D8%B1-%D8%AD%D8%A7%D8%AC%DB%8C-%D8%B2%D8%A7%D8%AF%D9%87-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D8%AA%D9%82%D9%88%DB%8C%D8%AA-%D8%AA%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%86%D9%85%D9%86%D8%AF%DB%8C-%D8%AF%D9%81%D8%A7%D8%B9%DB%8C-%D9%84%D8%AD%D8%B8%D9%87-%D8%A7%DB%8C-%D8%AF%D8%B1%D9%86%DA%AF-%D9%86%D8%AE%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%87%DB%8C%D9%85-%DA%A9%D8%B1%D8%AF-%D8%AF%D8%B4%D9%85%D9%86-%D8%AF%D8%B3%D8%AA-%D8%A7%D8%B2-%D9%BE%D8%A7-%D8%AE%D8%B7%D8%A7%DA%A9%D9%86%D8%AF-%D9%85%D9%88%D8%B4%DA%A9-%D9%87%D8%A7%DB%8C-%D9%85%D8%A7-%D8%A8%D8%B1-%D8%B3%D8%B1-%D8%A2%D9%86%D8%A7%D9%86-%D9%81%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%AF-%D9%85%DB%8C-%D8%A2%DB%8C%D8%AF Tasnim News Agency: https://www.tasnimnews.com/en/news/2017/02/04/1317960/irgc-simulates-enemy-attacks-on-key-iranian-sites-in-ongoing-drill Fars News Agency: http://en.farsnews.com/newstext.aspx?nn=13951116000918How Iran is Learning from Russia in Syria
Paul Bucala and Institute for the Study of War Syria Analyst Genevieve Casagrande discuss the knowledge-transfer from Russia to Iran in Syria in “How Iran is Learning from Russia in Syria.”
Iran’s New Way of War in Syria
Paul Bucala analyzes Iran’s military footprint in Syria in “Iran’s New Way of War in Syria.”