Key takeaway: Iran is likely to exert considerable economic and diplomatic pressure to prevent any future declaration of Iraqi Kurdistan’s independence.

Supreme National Security Council Secretary Ali Shamkhani stated that Iran would “terminate all military and security agreements” and close all border crossings with Iraqi Kurdistan in the event of Iraqi Kurdistan’s secession from Iraq. Shamkhani also warned that Iraqi Kurdistan’s secession from Iraq would result in the “serious alteration in the existing cooperation” between Iraqi Kurdistan and Iran. Iraqi Kurdistan is scheduled to hold a referendum on its independence on September 25.  

Iran’s closure of its border crossings with Iraqi Kurdistan would likely impose significant economic pressure upon Iraqi Kurdistan. Shamkhani’s threat to close the borders is likely aimed at keeping Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) head Massoud Barzani from declaring independence in the event the referendum passes. Turkey has also threatened Iraqi Kurdistan with major economic pressure.

This Iran News Round Up predominantly covers events from September 16-18.

Nuclear Deal Developments
September 20, 2017

Zarif and Tillerson scheduled to meet in NYC to discuss JCPOA.

Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif are scheduled to participate in a ministerial meeting of the EU+3 and Iran on the implementation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) on September 20 in New York. This will be the first meeting between the two diplomats. (EEAS.eu)

Citations & Links

EEAS.eu
September 20, 2017

Rouhani: U.S. withdrawal from JCPOA carries “high cost” for U.S.

President Hassan Rouhani reacted to President Donald Trump’s threats to leave the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) by saying that such an action “would carry a high cost for the United States of America” during an interview with CNN on September 18. Trump has been a vocal critic of the nuclear deal and has stated publicly that he intends to decertify Iranian compliance with the JCPOA. (Mehr News Agency) (CNN) (E)

  • Rouhani: EU should pressure the U.S. to uphold its JCPOA commitments. President Hassan Rouhani met with Belgian Parliament Speaker Siegfried Bracke on September 16 in Tehran. Rouhani said that “Iran expects the EU to pressure the U.S. to uphold its JCPOA commitments and to give [the U.S.] a final message.” Rouhani also noted that the “[Iranians] believe that the only entity that can declare Iran’s compliance with its JCPOA commitments is the International Atomic Energy Association (IAEA).” European countries have repeatedly expressed their desire to maintain the nuclear deal and have voiced their concerns if the deal were to collapse. (President.ir)
  • President Hassan Rouhani met with UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres on September 18. (President.ir)

Citations & Links

President.ir President.ir CNN Mehr News Agency
September 20, 2017

Khamenei: U.S. has been “oppressive, thuggish, and coercive.”

Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei noted that the U.S. has been “completely oppressive, thuggish, and coercive, despite all of the many agreements, commitments, and discussions.” Khamenei also said that for “important issues that are related to our national interests, retreating [does not exist] in our dictionary.” (Khamenei.ir)

Citations & Links

Khamenei.ir
September 20, 2017

Salehi: Iran is confident IAEA will resist U.S. pressure.

Head of Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization (AEOI) and senior nuclear negotiator Ali Akbar Salehi emphasized that any action to undermine the agreement will affect the entire international community and that he is confident International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Yukiya Amano will resist any outside influence. U.S. Secretary of Energy Rick Perry noted that the “U.S. strongly encourages the IAEA to verify Iran’s adherence to each and every nuclear-related commitment under the JCPOA.” (Mehr News Agency) (Press TV) (E) (Reuters) (E)

Citations & Links

Reuters Press TV Mehr News Agency
Economy
September 20, 2017

Velayati highlights efforts to develop Iran-China ties.

Senior Foreign Policy Advisor to the Supreme Leader Ali Akbar Velayati met with the head of China’s Institute of Middle Eastern Studies Niujin Chun in Tehran. Velayati said both Iran and China are seeking to develop strategic ties and collective efforts are needed in order to overcome existing obstacles between the two countries. (Mehrs News Agency) (Velayati.ir)

Citations & Links

Velayati.ir Mehr News Agency
Regional Developments and Diplomacy
September 20, 2017

Shamkhani warns of Iranian response to “illegal” Kurdish separatism.

Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) Secretary Ali Shamkhani warned that the Iraqi Kurdistan independence referendum would instigate instability. Shamkhani stressed that Iran’s “security and military agreements” with Iraqi Kurdistan exist by virtue of Iraqi Kurdistan’s relationship with the central government of Iraq. Shamkhani stated that Iran would therefore “terminate” these agreements as well as close border crossings with Iraqi Kurdistan in the event of a secession of Iraqi Kurdistan from Iraq. Shamkhani also stated that any “damage” to Iraq’s unity as a result of the referendum “would lead to the revision of and serious alteration in the existing cooperation between Iran and Iraq’s Kurdistan region.” (Press TV) (E) (Defa Press)

Citations & Links

Defa Press Press TV