Angelica Evans

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 14, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 12, 2024

Western and US officials reportedly assess that Ukrainian forces will continue to be on the defensive for the next six months and will no...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 11, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 6, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 5, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 4, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 30, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 29, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 27, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 26, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 23, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 21, 2024

Russian President Vladimir Putin continues to invoke nuclear threats as part of his ongoing information campaign to discourage further We...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 20, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 19, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 18, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 14, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 13, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 11, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 9, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 03, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 2, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 1, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 31, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 30, 2024

US President Joe Biden reportedly approved a policy change that will permit Ukraine to use US-provided weapons, including GMLRS rockets —...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 29, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 26, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 25, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 22, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 19, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 18, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 17, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 16, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 15, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 14, 2024

The pace of Russian offensive operations in northern Kharkiv Oblast appears to have slowed over the past 24 hours, and the pattern of Rus...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 11, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 9, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 8, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 5, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 4, 2024

Russian forces made a notable tactical advance northwest of Avdiivka near Arkhanhelske on the night of May 3 to 4, likely following a Ukr...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 3, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 30, 2024

Russian forces did not make any confirmed advances in the Avdiivka area on April 30 for the first time in several days, while Ukrainian s...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 28, 2024

Recent Russian gains northwest of Avdiivka have prompted Ukrainian forces to withdraw from other limited tactical positions along the fro...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 27, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 26, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 24, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 23, 2024

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu highlighted ongoing Russian offensive operations near Chasiv Yar, Avdiivka, and Donetsk City and a...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 22, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 19, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 20, 2024

The US House of Representatives passed a supplemental appropriations bill on April 20 providing for roughly $60 billion of assistance to ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 17, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 14, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 13, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 12, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 10, 2024

The Ukrainian military’s effective use of drones on the battlefield cannot fully mitigate Ukraine’s theater-wide shortage of critical mun...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 8, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 6, 2024

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky indicated that Ukraine does not have enough materiel to contest the battlefield initiative.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 4, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 3, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 30, 2024

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky indicated that delays in American security assistance have forced Ukraine to cede the battlefield ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 29, 2024

The Russian Orthodox Church Moscow Patriarchate (ROC MP), a Kremlin-controlled organization and a known tool within the Russian hybrid wa...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 25, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 24, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 23, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 22, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 21, 2024

The Russian military command appears to be forming reserves capable of sustaining ongoing offensive operations in Ukraine, but these rese...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 18, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 16, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 15, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 11, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 8, 2024

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reiterated that a ceasefire in Ukraine would allow Russia to rebuild its forces and means for futu...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 7, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 6, 2024

Ukrainian Ground Forces Commander Lieutenant General Oleksandr Pavlyuk stated on March 6 that Ukraine will try to seize the initiative an...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 3, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 2, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 29, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 28, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 25, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 23, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 21, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 19, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 18, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 17, 2024

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu claimed that Russian forces have established “full control” over Avdiivka, Donetsk Oblast as Russi...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 16, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 15, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 14, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 11, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 10, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 9, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 8, 2024

Russian President Vladimir Putin attempted to use an interview with American media personality Tucker Carlson published on February 8 to ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 4, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 3, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 2, 2024

Russian President Vladimir Putin evoked a wide Russian social and economic mobilization reminiscent of the Soviet Union’s total mobilizat...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 1, 2024

Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valerii Zaluzhnyi presented an overarching strategy to seize the theater-wide initiative in Ukraine ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 29, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 28, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 27, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 26, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 25, 2024

Ukrainian and Russian authorities opened criminal investigations into the January 24 Russian Il-76 military transport aircraft crash in B...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 24, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 21, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 20, 2024

Russian President Vladimir Putin falsely claimed that Russia supports the “unconditional equality” and “sovereignty” of all states in a J...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 19, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 18, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 17, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 14, 2024

Ukraine’s Long-Term Path to Success: Jumpstarting a Self-Sufficient Defense Industrial Base with US and EU Support

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 12, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 11, 2024

The reported concentration of the Russian military’s entire combat-capable ground force in Ukraine and ongoing Russian force generation e...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 10, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 8, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 7, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 4, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 2, 2024

Russian President Vladimir Putin identified the West as Russia’s “enemy” and implied that Russia is fighting in Ukraine in order to defea...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 29, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 27, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 26, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 22, 2023

Ukrainian officials continue to warn that Russia maintains its maximalist objectives and additional goals for territorial conquest in Ukr...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 18, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 16, 2023

Ukrainian forces continue operations on the east (left) bank of the Dnipro River in Kherson Oblast amid reported difficult conditions in ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 15, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 13, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 12, 2023

US intelligence reportedly assessed that Russian offensive operations in eastern Ukraine in fall 2023 and through the upcoming winter aim...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 10, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 9, 2023

Russian forces have likely committed to offensive operations in multiple sectors of the front during a period of the most challenging wea...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 8, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 7, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 6, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 5, 2023

Ukrainian forces reportedly conducted successful drone strikes against Russian military targets in occupied Crimea on the night of Decemb...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 2, 2023

Iran Update, December 1, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 1, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 30, 2023

A recent Russian opinion poll indicates that the number of Russians who fully support the war in Ukraine has almost halved since February...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 29, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 28, 2023

Russian President Vladimir Putin reiterated a two-part conception of Russian identity in a speech on November 28: a “Russian nation” – cl...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 24, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 22, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 18, 2023

Russian forces conducted a series of drone strikes against Ukraine on the night of November 17 to 18.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 17, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 16, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 15, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 12, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 10, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 11, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 9, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 8, 2023

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast on November 8. The Ukrainian General...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 7, 2023

Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces transferred a limited number of armored vehicles to the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 4, 2023

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky emphasized that the war in Ukraine is not a “stalemate” in a comment to the media about Ukrainian ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 1, 2023

Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valerii Zaluzhnyi assessed on November 1 that the war in Ukraine has taken on a positional nature an...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 31, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 30, 2023

Russian officials announced that Russian law enforcement suppressed the antisemitic riots in Makhachkala, Republic of Dagestan on October...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 29, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 28, 2023

Remnants of the Wagner Group appear to be fighting in the Avdiivka direction subordinate to Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) controlled ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 25, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 24, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 23, 2023

Russia's domestic production of artillery shells, supplemented by increased ammunition imports from North Korea, will likely allow Russia...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 22, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 21, 2023

Ukrainian forces have likely repelled another intensified Russian offensive effort towards Avdiivka in the past several days and inflicte...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 19, 2023

Russian sources continued to discuss larger-than-usual Ukrainian ground operations on the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast on October 1...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 18, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 17, 2023

Ukraine used US-provided ATACMS long-range missiles to strike Russian targets in occupied Ukraine for the first time on October 17.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 16, 2023

Russia likely deployed elements of at least two Central Military District (CMD) brigades to reinforce offensive operations by Donetsk Peo...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 14, 2023

US and Ukrainian officials reported on October 12 and 13 that they anticipated the Russian offensive operations around Avdiivka and expre...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 13, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 11, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 8, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 4, 2023

The Russian military recently transferred several Black Sea Fleet (BSF) vessels from the port in occupied Sevastopol, Crimea to the port ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 3, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 2, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 1, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 30, 2023

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in western Zaporizhia Oblast and near Bakhmut on September 30.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 28, 2023

Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast on September 28. The Ukrainian General Staf...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 27, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 26, 2023

The tactical situation in Verbove remains unclear as Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations in western Zaporizhia Oblast on Sept...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 25, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 24, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 22, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 21, 2023

Ukrainian armored vehicles are operating beyond the final line of the Russian defensive layer that Ukrainian forces in western Zaporizhia...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 20, 2023

Ukrainian forces continued offensive actions near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast on September 20.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 17, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 15, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 13, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 11, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 10, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 8, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 7, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 5, 2023

Ukrainian forces continue to advance in western Zaporizhia Oblast. Geolocated footage posted on September 5 shows Russian forces striking...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 4, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 3, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 1, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 31, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 30, 2023

Ukrainian forces reportedly destroyed four Russian Il-76 planes during a drone strike on a Russian airfield in Pskov Oblast on the night ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 29, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 27, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 25, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 24, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 23, 2023

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin and founder Dmitry Utkin reportedly died after Russian forces shot down an aircraft transporting...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 19, 2023

Russian forces launched a missile strike during the day on August 19 targeting Chernihiv City center after carrying out a series of Shahe...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 18, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 17, 2023

“Vostok” Battalion commander Alexander Khodakovsky suggested that Russia freeze the war in Ukraine along the current frontlines, reintrod...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 16, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 15, 2023

Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on August 15 and reportedly advanced in Luh...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 12, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 11, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 10, 2023

The Wagner Group continues to maintain a presence at facilities in Belarus and the status of its rumored withdrawal to Russia remains unc...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 9, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 8, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 5, 2023

Ukrainian forces struck a Russian oil tanker on August 4 with a naval drone in the second attack on Russian ships in the Black Sea in two...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 4, 2023

Ukrainian forces conducted a series of aerial and naval drone strikes against Russian logistics and port infrastructure in occupied Crime...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 30, 2023

The lack of Russian milblogger reaction to a Ukrainian strike on the Chonhar bridge represents a notable inflection in Russian reporting ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 29, 2023

Segments of the Russian pro-war ultranationalist information space appear to be coalescing around the Kremlin’s narrative effort to portr...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 28, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 27, 2023

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on July 27 and made gains in some areas, al...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 26, 2023

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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 25, 2023

Russian President Vladimir Putin continued to manifest concern over potential threats that the Wagner Group and its financier Yevgeny Pri...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 22, 2023

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on July 22. The Ukrainian General Staff rep...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 21, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 19, 2023

Russian forces launched an extensive missile and drone attack against port and grain infrastructure in southern Ukraine on July 19 likely...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 15, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 14, 2023

Russian President Vladimir Putin further indicated he intends to maintain the Wagner Group as a cohesive fighting force rather than break...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 13, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 12, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 11, 2023

Russian forces conducted a series of Shahed 131 and 136 drone strikes across Ukraine on July 11, likely in a demonstrative response to th...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 8, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 7, 2023

Ukrainian forces made tactically significant gains in the Bakhmut area and continued counteroffensive operations in at least three other ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 6, 2023

Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko stated that Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin and Wagner forces are not in Belarus as of...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 5, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 1, 2023

Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in at least four sectors of the frontline on July 1. ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 30, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 29, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 28, 2023

Continued reporting about the deal mediated by Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko to end the Wagner Group’s armed rebellion suggest...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 27, 2023

Russian President Vladimir Putin is trying to present Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin as corrupt and a liar to destroy his reput...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 24, 2023

The Kremlin announced late on June 24 that Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko negotiated a deal under which Wagner Group financier ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 23, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 22, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 21, 2023

Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on June 21. Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minist...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 20, 2023

Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in at least two sectors of the front on June 20.