George Barros

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 19, 2025

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 18, 2025

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 17, 2025

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 15, 2025

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 6, 2025

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 29, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 22, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 6, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 5, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 2, 2024

Iran Update, November 30, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 30, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 26, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 25, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 23, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 22, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 20, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 15, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 12, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 5, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 27, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 11, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 12, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 10, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 9, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 7, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 6, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 1, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 23, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 16, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 15, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 14, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 13, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 9, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 1, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 30, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 29, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 27, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 25, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 24, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 23, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 19, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 14, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 11, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 10, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 25, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 24, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 19, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 18, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 16, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 15, 2024

A recent Ukrainian poll indicates that Ukrainians widely reject Russia's demands for total Ukrainian capitulation, emphasizing that the K...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 14, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 10, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 3, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 2, 2024

The interplay between ongoing Russian offensive operations in the Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, and Avdiivka directions indicates that the Russian...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 23, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 21, 2024

Russian President Vladimir Putin continues to invoke nuclear threats as part of his ongoing information campaign to discourage further We...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 20, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 19, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 18, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 17, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 16, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 14, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 13, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 12, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 11, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 10, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 9, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 8, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 7, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 5, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 4, 2024

Select Russian military commentators continue to complain about superior Ukrainian drone and electronic warfare (EW) capabilities on the ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 30, 2024

US President Joe Biden reportedly approved a policy change that will permit Ukraine to use US-provided weapons, including GMLRS rockets —...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 18, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 16, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 12, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 5, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 19, 2024

Why You Can’t Be an Iran Hawk and a Russia Dove

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 17, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 15, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 9, 2024

Russian state media highlighted Russia and China’s joint effort to combat perceived Western “dual containment” targeting Russia and China...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 8, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 7, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 6, 2024

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky indicated that Ukraine does not have enough materiel to contest the battlefield initiative.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 3, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 2, 2024

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky signed a law on April 2 that lowers the Ukrainian military’s mobilization age from 27 to 25 years ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 1, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 30, 2024

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky indicated that delays in American security assistance have forced Ukraine to cede the battlefield ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 29, 2024

The Russian Orthodox Church Moscow Patriarchate (ROC MP), a Kremlin-controlled organization and a known tool within the Russian hybrid wa...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 16, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 10, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 8, 2024

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reiterated that a ceasefire in Ukraine would allow Russia to rebuild its forces and means for futu...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 7, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 6, 2024

Ukrainian Ground Forces Commander Lieutenant General Oleksandr Pavlyuk stated on March 6 that Ukraine will try to seize the initiative an...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 5, 2024

Ukraine destroyed the Project 22160 Sergei Kotov large patrol ship of the Black Sea Fleet (BSF) off the coast of the Kerch Strait on the ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 4, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 21, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 20, 2024

Ukraine has been defending itself against illegal Russian military intervention and aggression for 10 years.[1] Russia violated its commi...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 19, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 15, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 14, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 13, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 12, 2024

Ukraine’s Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reported that elements of Lebanese Hezbollah (LH) and the Islamic Revolutionary Gu...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 9, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 8, 2024

Russian President Vladimir Putin attempted to use an interview with American media personality Tucker Carlson published on February 8 to ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 5, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 2, 2024

Russian President Vladimir Putin evoked a wide Russian social and economic mobilization reminiscent of the Soviet Union’s total mobilizat...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 1, 2024

Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valerii Zaluzhnyi presented an overarching strategy to seize the theater-wide initiative in Ukraine ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 26, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 25, 2024

Ukrainian and Russian authorities opened criminal investigations into the January 24 Russian Il-76 military transport aircraft crash in B...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 24, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 23, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 19, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 18, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 17, 2024

Ukraine’s Long-Term Path to Success: Jumpstarting a Self-Sufficient Defense Industrial Base with US and EU Support

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 12, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 9, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 8, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 5, 2024

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 4, 2024

The Lands Ukraine Must Liberate

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 28, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 27, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 26, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 22, 2023

Ukrainian officials continue to warn that Russia maintains its maximalist objectives and additional goals for territorial conquest in Ukr...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 21, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 20, 2023

Head of the Kremlin-controlled Russian Orthodox Church Patriarch Kirill made a series of anti-migrant and xenophobic remarks that directl...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 19, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 8, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 7, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 4, 2023

Russia continues to reckon with the economic ramifications of labor shortages partially resulting from the war in Ukraine.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 1, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 30, 2023

A recent Russian opinion poll indicates that the number of Russians who fully support the war in Ukraine has almost halved since February...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 29, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 28, 2023

Russian President Vladimir Putin reiterated a two-part conception of Russian identity in a speech on November 28: a “Russian nation” – cl...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 27, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 26, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 16, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 15, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 14, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 13, 2023

Russian state media released and later retracted reports about the "regrouping" of Russian forces on the east (left) bank of Kherson Obla...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 1, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 24, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 23, 2023

ISW is now prepared to assess that Ukrainian forces have broken through Russian field fortifications west of Verbove in western Zaporizhi...

Ukraine’s Operations in Bakhmut Have Kept Russian Reserves Away from the South

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 6, 2023

Ukrainian forces struck two key road bridges along critical Russian grounds lines of communication (GLOCs) connecting occupied Crimea and...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 5, 2023

Ukrainian forces struck a Russian oil tanker on August 4 with a naval drone in the second attack on Russian ships in the Black Sea in two...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 3, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 1, 2023

The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) accused Ukraine of attempting to attack two Black Sea Fleet patrol boats with unmanned semi-submers...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 31, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 28, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 26, 2023

>hr/>

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 23, 2023

Russian President Vladimir Putin revealed his continuing concern over the potential threats that the Wagner Group and Yevgeny Prigozhin m...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 22, 2023

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on July 22. The Ukrainian General Staff rep...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 21, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 20, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 19, 2023

Russian forces launched an extensive missile and drone attack against port and grain infrastructure in southern Ukraine on July 19 likely...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 11, 2023

Russian forces conducted a series of Shahed 131 and 136 drone strikes across Ukraine on July 11, likely in a demonstrative response to th...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 9, 2023

Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on July 9.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 8, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 7, 2023

Ukrainian forces made tactically significant gains in the Bakhmut area and continued counteroffensive operations in at least three other ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 5, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 2, 2023

Ukrainian forces reportedly conducted counteroffensive operations in six sectors of the front on July 2 and made gains in some of these a...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 1, 2023

Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in at least four sectors of the frontline on July 1. ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 30, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 29, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 27, 2023

Russian President Vladimir Putin is trying to present Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin as corrupt and a liar to destroy his reput...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 26, 2023

Russian President Vladimir Putin gave a speech on June 26 seeking to persuade as many Wagner fighters and leaders as possible to join the...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 13, 2023

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in at least three directions and made further limited territorial gains on June 13.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 12, 2023

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in at least three sectors of the front and made territorial gains on June 12. Ukra...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 11, 2023

Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in at least three areas of the front and made territorial gains on June 10 and 11.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 8, 2023

Ukraine has conducted counteroffensive operations with differential outcomes in at least three sectors of the front as part of wider coun...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 7, 2023

The destruction of the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant (KHPP) dam is significantly changing the geography and topography of the Kherso...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 6, 2023

Damage to the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant (KHPP) dam in the early hours of June 6 caused massive flooding of the Dnipro River delt...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 4, 2023

Elements of the all-Russian pro-Ukrainian Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) and Freedom of Russia Legion (LSR) conducted another limited raid...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 1, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 30, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 29, 2023

Russian forces conducted another series of strikes against Ukraine with cruise missiles and Iranian-made drones overnight on May 28 to 29...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 21, 2023

Wagner Group mercenaries likely secured the western administrative borders of Bakhmut City while Ukrainian forces are continuing to prior...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 17, 2023

Russian and Ukrainian officials acknowledged continued limited Ukrainian counterattacks near Bakhmut on May 17.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 13, 2023

Ukrainian forces continue to counterattack in the Bakhmut area amid unconfirmed claims of further marginal Ukrainian gains southwest of t...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 29, 2023

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin threatened to withdraw Wagner forces from Bakhmut if the Russian military command fails to provi...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 28, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 24, 2023

Russian milbloggers speculated that Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered additional military command changes on April 20. A prominent...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 23, 2023

This report outlines the current Russian order of battle (ORBAT) in Ukraine, assesses the offensive and defensive capabilities of Russian...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 20, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 19, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 18, 2023

Russian President Vladimir Putin continued to portray himself as a wartime leader in anticipation of a planned Ukrainian counteroffensive...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 16, 2023

The United Kingdom Ministry of Defense (UK MoD) reported on April 16 that it is highly likely that VDV commander Colonel General Mikhail ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 15, 2023

Reporting from some Western sources that Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin called for Russia to end its war against Ukraine is ina...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 14, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 13, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 12, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 11, 2023

The Kremlin passed legislation to use tools of digital authoritarianism to digitize and improve the effectiveness of issuing summonses an...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 9, 2023

ISW is publishing a special edition campaign assessment today, April 9. This report discusses Russia’s religious repressions throughout o...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 7, 2023

Russian milbloggers responded with speculative anxiety to reportedly leaked (and possibly altered) classified US military documents about...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 4, 2023

The Kremlin will likely attempt to coerce Belarus into further Union State integration when Russian President Vladimir Putin and Belarusi...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 31, 2023

Russian President Vladimir Putin approved a new Russian Foreign Policy Concept on March 31 that likely aims to support the Kremlin’s atte...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 30, 2023

Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree on March 30 authorizing Russia’s semiannual spring conscription which will induct 147,00...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 28, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 24, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 23, 2023

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin has softened his rhetoric towards the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) likely out fear of compl...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 22, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 20, 2023

Russian forces made marginal gains in and around Bakhmut amid a reported increase in the tempo of Russian operations around Avdiivka. Rus...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 17, 2023

Chinese President Xi Jinping will meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin during a state visit to Russia from March 20 to 22 likely to...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 16, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 14, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 11, 2023

Russian forces did not make any confirmed advances within Bakhmut on March 11. Ukrainian and Russian sources continue to report heavy fig...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 10, 2023

US intelligence warned that individuals with ties to Russian intelligence may be planning to attempt to instigate an insurrection in Mold...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 9, 2023

Russian forces conducted the largest missile strike across Ukraine of 2023 so far on March 9, but the attack likely only served Russian s...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 8, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 7, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 4, 2023

Russian forces appear to have secured a sufficient positional advantage to conduct a turning movement against certain parts of Bakhmut bu...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 2, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 1, 2023

The Kremlin may leverage an amendment to Russia’s Criminal Code increasing punishments for "discrediting" the war in Ukraine to promote f...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 28, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 27, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 24, 2023

The Kremlin did not comment on the first anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, likely because Russia has...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 21, 2023

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s February 21 address to the Russian Federal Assembly did not articulate specific goals or intentions fo...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 18, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 17, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 16, 2023

Russian forces conducted another missile strike on infrastructure facilities throughout Ukraine on February 16. The Ukrainian General Sta...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 15, 2023

Russia’s costly military campaign in Ukraine has likely significantly depleted Russian equipment and manpower reserves necessary to susta...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 14, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 10, 2023

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 9, 2023

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin announced on February 9 that the Wagner Group has entirely stopped recruiting prisoners. In a re...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 8, 2023

Russian forces have regained the initiative in Ukraine and have begun their next major offensive in Luhansk Oblast. The pace of Russian o...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 6, 2023

Ukrainian officials assess that Russian forces are preparing to launch a large-scale decisive offensive in eastern Ukraine in mid-to-late...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 3, 2023

The Biden administration announced a new $2.2 billion military aid package to Ukraine on February 3, including precision long-range missi...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 2, 2023

A Ukrainian intelligence official stated that Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the Russian military to capture Donetsk and Luhans...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 30, 2023

Western, Ukrainian, and Russian sources continue to indicate that Russia is preparing for an imminent offensive, supporting ISW’s assessm...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 29, 2023

This report focuses on the impact of delays in sending high-end weapons systems to Ukraine on Ukraine’s ability to take advantage of wind...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 28, 2023

Conventional Russian forces are likely replacing exhausted Wager Group forces to maintain the offensive in Bakhmut after the Wagner Group...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 27, 2023

Kremlin insiders reportedly told Bloomberg that Russian President Vladimir Putin is preparing a new offensive to regain the initiative th...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 24, 2023

A coalition of NATO member states reportedly will send Ukraine modern main battle tanks. The Wall Street Journal reported on January 24 ...

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 23, 2023